Barack Obama is more than six weeks away from assuming the presidency, and the next Iowa caucuses are more than three years away, but a national poll out Friday suggests that former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin top the list of potential 2012 Republican presidential hopefuls.
Huckabee leads in the CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll released Friday. The survey is an early measure of possible support for the next GOP presidential nomination.
If the economy is doing well in 2012 then whoever runs as a Republican will lose. If the economy is doing poorly due to the continued effects of the burst debt bubble combined with Peak Oil then it would be a shame if the Republicans wasted their opportunity by running Palin or Huckabee.
I am expecting poor economic performance through the 2010s. So I expect incumbents to lose more often.