2016 February 21 Sunday
Oregon Could Get $14.75 Minimum Wage
Political support for more robots and less low skilled immigration continues to build. Oregon House of Representatives votes for $14.75 per hour minimum wage. It is actually 3-tiered with the highest rate for Portland. This will accelerate Portland's gentrification. Great news for people in Portland who want fewer lower class people around. They'll all move to lower wage areas, even out of state. The cool part of it for left-leaning upper class Portlanders: They can tell themselves they support this move for the benefit of the lower classes.
The Republican states are being foolish about the minimum wage. Rather than drive out the lower classes, cut welfare costs, and get a more favorable electorate the Republicans insist on keeping wage costs low for lower value businesses. The result will be an electorate that goes Left faster as the people who can't get a job in a high min wage state move to Republican states.
In Alabama the state legislature looks set to block local increases in minimum wages. This is like getting hit on the head lessons.
Meanwhile, in New York State Governor Cuomo and Democrats in the state legislature plan to raise the state's minimum wage to $15 statewide by 2021. The great news: businesses will respond by doing more automation.
Restaurant owners have threatened that they would turn more to kiosks to replace cashiers.
The article quotes a young single mom (who is irresponsibly pregnant with her second baby!) saying she needs that wage increase sooner. I'm wondering if she'll still have a job (at least in New York State) in 2022. Perhaps not. Great news for New York State if she needs to move to a Republican state where she'll still be employable. Hey Utah and Idaho, cut off her job supply with a high min wage before she shows up.
We live in exciting times. If this keeps up we won't need to try to get a waitress's attention when we want to order some food. Tablets at every desk will take the orders and robots will deliver it. Faster service. High minimum wages will help make America great again.
By Randall Parker at 2016 February 21 08:57 PM
We need to change the welfare system to disincentivize poor people from having kids.
I have mixed feelings about this. A higher minimum wage will certainly spur automation, which I view as a good thing. However, it seems naive to think that people displaced by this will automatically move elsewhere. Their work ethic isn't very strong to begin with - maybe most of them will just stay put, especially in states with generous welfare payments, such as Oregon and California. Then they can live off the dole, indulge in criminal activities such as prostitution and drug dealing, or work illegally off the books. Portland is pretty much whitopia, but are the unemployed poor there likely to pack up their bags and move to Idaho or Montana to take jobs as stock clerks or burger flippers? What if more and more communities adopt a higher minimum wage? Where will they go then? Nowhere to run, nowhere to hide. It seems we're locking a big chunk of the population on the left side of the bell curve into permanent unemployment and dependency. And this will solidify their vote for the Democrats, who will promise them ever-increasing welfare goodies and assure them that their wretched economic situation is not their fault because racism or white privilege or Wall Street or whatever.
Black Death is correct. However, as housing costs increase in the more desirable parts of town, such people will move to other parts of town. This is already happening in the whitopia of Portland, where all of the low income people live around 82nd Avenue and outside the I-205 beltway. This trend will continue. There are ways (both political and non-political) to disincentivize them from having kids, which will reduce democratic voter population in the long run.
An interesting point by Black Death. College educated go-getters eagerly move across the country to pursue important self-actualization jobs, but who is uprooting their life to pursue a $7 per hour dish washing opportunity? In theory our urban underclass could all have jobs picking our crops but none of them do.
We could require our urban underclass to pick crops for their EBT, but we don't.
"In theory our urban underclass could all have jobs picking our crops but none of them do."
They're already fully employed voting for the Democratic party. Since they can do this anywhere, why should they move to get a job that requires actual work?
A higher minimum wage will slow growth of low wage jobs. That means fewer illegal immigrants and fewer low-skilled legal immigrants. $15/hour may be a little too high, but I would vote for that over what we have now. I am not generally a supporter of government putting a minimum price on the cost of labor, but given it's either that or the current immivasion, I'll take the high minimum wage.
If Republican voters want to slow mass immigration down there is only one way to do it that the Left will go along with - higher minimum wages. Anyone who doesn't understand that is an idiot.