First we had this: America's partner/ally/client Iraq (should I say Shia Iraq) is allying with other Shia states against Sunnis.
Iraq says it has reached a deal to share intelligence with Russia, Iran and Syria in the fight against ISIS militants.
Four countries learning to share and work together. International intra-ethnic cooperation is still possible.
But the Shia support comes from Lebanon and Afghanistan as well. Lebanese Hezbollah fighters, Iraqi Shiite militias, Afghan Shiite militias, and Iran government fighters are all coming together to fight on Assad's side with Russian air support.
I count Shia from 5 countries plus the help of Russian bombers and likely Russian soldiers on the ground fighting for the Alawites and Shiites. The Christians might benefit from the Russian presence. The Kurds might benefit too.
I bet many Sunnis and Sunni governments will be inspired to respond in kind.
As Anatoly Karlin points out with an ethnic map of Syria, the Syrian civil war is a war between ethnic and religious groups. Karlin also gets into why Arab armies perform so poorly.
I think the Shiite coalition is reasonable. The non-Sunnis do not want to be ruled by the Sunnis. The Sunnis think they've got God on their side. So do the Shias. What would be reasonable: partition Syria into ethnic states. The Kurds and Christians would certainly be better off and so would the Alawites.
|Share |||By Randall Parker at 2015 October 03 08:23 PM|