2014 June 18 Wednesday
Britain, America Shift Positions On Iran Over Iraq Fears

Lots of fun headlines on the radical shift in US and British positions toward Iran thanks to the ISIS invasion of northern Iraq. The Brits are moving fastest: Britain Says It Is Ready to Reopen Iran Embassy. Iran doing what it can to help Iraq: Iran Offers Iraq ‘Everything it Needs’ to Fight ISIS. Some do not expect the romance to last: Iraq crisis may make bedfellows of the US and Iran, but don't expect romance. Others think Iran and America will get along great: Why Iran Is America’s Best New Partner in the Middle East. American officials are publicly shifting position in smaller steps than the Brits: Could U.S., Iran work together in Iraq? Maybe, officials say. Direct talks are in the offing: US weighs alliance with Iran to counter ISIS, boosts presence in Gulf.

These shifts are pretty fast for diplomats. I'd like to hear how much fear of oil production is driving the shift. High oil prices would bring on a recession quickly and this is an election year.

Britain's rulers are trying to help the British public to reorient itself to a more pro-Shiite stance: Latest developments and news from the Iraq crisis, where David Cameron has warned that Isis jihadists seeking to build an Islamic caliphate also plan to "attack us here at home in the United Kingdom". Has Cameron considered making visas to Britain from Sunni Arab countries much harder to get? (just joking)

Hey, if Israel wasn't in the Middle East I wonder if a nuclear-armed Iran would be seen in Washington DC as a deterrent force against Sunni states?

While Obama's administration debates what to do about Iraq the Iranian Revolutionary Guard's Quds Force is going to war against ISIS.

Why all that is going on I bet the Kurds are going to accelerate the re-Kurdification of Kirkuk and surrounding environs. More Kurds will move back to Kurdistan from the Arab areas just to get to a safer place. Will the Kurds then settle for de facto independence while giving lip service to their membership in an Iraqi nation? Or the Sunni Arabs manage to stay independent of the Shias and therefore make it easier for the Kurds to break away too?

Share |      By Randall Parker at 2014 June 18 08:11 PM 

Wolf-Dog said at June 18, 2014 8:51 PM:

Is it absolutely impossible that in the future Iran will not cut a deal with the Sunni caliphate to wage war against the infidels? Please note that this is not without precedent: let's recall that during the Crusades, the Iranian spiritual master Hassan-i Sabbah was the leader of the Cult of Assassins (also known as Hashshashin which ultimately got respelled as "Assassin" in modern western languages) waged war against the Crusaders.



While there has always been a lot of intolerance between the Sunnis and Shiites, the fact is that they do have the capability to unite against the infidels.

georgesdelatour said at June 19, 2014 12:50 AM:

Iran only became a preponderantly Shiite country during the Safavid dynasty (15th to 18th centuries).

amac78 said at June 19, 2014 4:01 AM:

From the 2001 U.S. invasion of Afghanistan to the present, Iran and (Sunni) al Qaeda have a history of cooperation. This is far from an alliance -- the Salafis continue to gleefully kill the Shi'ia heretics when the right circumstances arise, and they are on opposite sides in Syria as well as Iraq. But these sorts of things have not precluded strategic and tactical cooperation against the Great Satan. In that regard, we should expect the past to be a guide to the future.

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