2014 April 27 Sunday
North Korea Will Eventually Have Nuclear ICBMs
Obama Administration clueless on how to stop it.
Back in the 1990s the Western nations made the mistake of providing food aid to the North Korean regime during their famine. The aid bolstered the regime by keeping its most loyal members fed. The 1990s famine led to cannibalism.
A report on the North Korean famine and regime shows how the deathly disregard of the North Korean people by the ruling Kims.
But the world owes it to the North Korean victims, both living and dead, to focus on a figure buried in paragraph 664 of the commission’s report: $645,800,000.
That is what the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-un, is said to have squandered in 2012 on “luxury goods,” including cosmetics, handbags, leather products, watches, electronics, cars and top-shelf alcohol. In that same year, Mr. Kim also spent $1.3 billion on his ballistic missile programs.
The most amazing fact in this article: The North Korean regime could have easily afforded to buy enough food on the open market in the 1990s to prevent the famine that killed between 600k and 2.5 million people and left a far larger number physically and mentally stunted in development. Meanwhile the United Nations World Food Program has asked donors for $150 million for North Korea in 2013. Worse than fools. The aid just allows the regime to spend more on elite luxury goods and nuclear ICBM development.
By Randall Parker at 2014 April 27 10:33 AM
That figure is really hard to believe, there must be more going on there or the numbers are off by a factor of 10, that's like spending $12+ million a week! I guess it wouldn't surprise me though.
As far as policy goes, it's a dire situation. No way should we be providing food aid that will just be stolen, but the consequence will be hundreds of thousands or millions more dead. We should be fully engaged in building missile defense, but I don't trust Obama to follow this through. I wonder how much of the money we send to buy good from China finds its way to North Korea.
North Korea should be the least of our worries because it is Iran and others that are likely to start a blackmail diplomacy after establishing nuclear arsenals. By 2050 many other countries near Iran will get thousands of nukes.
It's impossible to stop nuclear development without launching a an absolutely devastating attack that will completely destroy the country. The nuclear factories are often buried thousands of feet underground, many of these installations are very sparsely distributed in unknown locations, and no surgical attack can destroy these.
Thus, what the world must do is to anticipate and create a credible equilibrium policy that will discourage blackmail based foreign policy from adversaries. For instance, if the Western world ends up with a weak image that Dogmakes rogue adversaries think that EU and the US are too cowardly to oppose nuclear blackmail, then this kind of blackmail would probably be attempted.If the disintegration of EU continues during the next few decades, this might certainly encourage such an attempt to blackmail.
More proof that evil usually does well and often wins. Based on what I read, it would be better if it was possible to put them all out of their misery.
The only country that could stop North Korea from getting ICBM's is China, but a North Korea that could attack the US itself is an asset to China. If we try to remove the North Korean nuclear threat, we will get Korean War II with China.
So, it's a done deal. Within a decade North Korea will be able to strike our west coast cities. And Iran might be able to strike our east coast cities.
Nuclear proliferation is guaranteed to proceed. The US will continue to throw its weight around claiming that it is trying to contain this. The real reason is not because it is trying to prevent a nuclear attack on the US, but because it is a good excuse to hand large amounts of money to defense contractors. This interventionist port-barrel vicious cycle will, in turn, produce many more enemies of the US -- all of whom will start thinking in terms of a small nuke, optimized for EMP lofted by a radar and optically invisible balloon to high altitude and detonated off the mid-Atlantic seaboard.
The fate of all mankind I see is in the hands of fools.
Nuclear nonproliferation has been a major goal of the Obama administration. I wonder if they want to rethink that.
For decades during the Cold War, the US and USSR had thousands of nuclear weapons pointed at each other, but they were thankfully never used. Each side knew it could obliterate the other but would itself be obliterated in the process. Conflicts occurred, mainly among proxy states, but nuclear weapons were never employed.
It's time that the US took a sensible approach to low level nuclear proliferation by rogue states such as North Korea and (maybe) Iran. Building an anti-missle system designed to provide a degree of protection against small numbers of nuclear missles is essential. If North Korea launced a nuclear missle against the US, such a shield might (or might not) knock the missle down. But the North Koreans could be certain that the US would then use a tiny portion of its nuclear arsenal to turn their wretched country into radioactive glass. The Kims, their cronies and all their expensive designer goods would be wiped from the earth.
With regard to Korea, it's time for the US to step aside, withdraw its troops and leave the whole mess to South Korea, which has more that twice the population and about forty times the GDP of the North. If this means that the South Koreans have to acquire nuclear weapons, so be it. And since China seems to be throwing its weight around lately, perhaps Japan, Taiwan and Vietnam should also have nukes. The Chinese won't like that, but they really have no one but themselves to blame. China is the only nation that has the power to restrain North Korea, and if they permit the Norks to get nukes, they shouldn't be surprised if the whole region goes nuclear.
And speaking of the UN - that feckless world body is worth than useless.
Do not worry about North Korea nuclear program. Any news on it is just another form of mass distraction. North Korea will do nothing nuclear and if they tried something there's China and Russia who don't feel so happy with that dumb, fucked-up haircut kid Koreans consider their messiah.
I do agree on how that little tyrant Kim and other leaders, specially in Africa, use hunger as a political weapon against either minorities or the country's own people.
But don't worry about North Korea becoming a threat to the world, and the U.S. is not interested in ivading North Korea either. Remember there's no oil there.
On second thought, considering that the US/NATO has run amok since the fall of the USSR, a North Korea that could actually attack the US with nuclear weapons might be desirable. We might also benefit from an Iran with the same capabilities.