2013 July 22 Monday
Al Qaeda Franchises Growing

Al Qaeda, a growth industry.

“There has been a net expansion in the number and geographic scope of Al Qaeda affiliates and allies over the past decade, indicating that Al Qaeda and its brand are far from defeated,” argues Seth Jones, an analyst at the RAND Corporation and the study’s author.

The Sunni warriors are stoked about fighting the United States, American allies, and Shiites. In Iraq, the US military's old stomping ground, the Sunni Al Qaeda is getting the band back together with a massive jail break from Abu Ghraib prison. Meanwhile, Pakistani Taliban fighters are headed to Syria to fight for Sunni control.

Under Obama the US war against Islamic warriors has continued to expand using technology. A Washington Post story outlines the continued expansion of US drone flights against Muslim holy warriors in Africa and the Middle East: U.S. military drone surveillance is expanding to hot spots beyond declared combat zones. The US is even doing logistics and drone surveillance for the French in Mali.

What has this done for the security of American citizens? Mostly served as a constant reminder for Jihadists why they want to kill Americans. With Al Qaeda growing the US ought to work to keep the people who hate us way over there rather than Massachusetts or Texas.

Share |      By Randall Parker at 2013 July 22 09:16 PM 


Comments
Nurevey said at July 27, 2013 4:27 AM:

Problem is the Jihadis make the INS liberal bureaucrats ginies tingle.

Wolf-Dog said at July 27, 2013 9:02 AM:

1) The future weapons of Al Qaeda will one day become more capable of causing damage without sending large hordes of warriors to Europe or North America. This is why the war will be very global, simply restricting immigration won't be enough. For instance, even the destruction of the World Trade Center in 2001 was done by a relatively small group of operatives, the US already has a fairly restricted immigration policy (except more flexible immigration for South American countries, that are supposed to be friendly neighbors.)

2) The 9/11 attack in New York was a trap devised by Al Qaeda to lure the US into distant guerrilla wars in countries like Afghanistan, and this trap worked extremely well. Similarly,if the US attempts to pull out of Afghanistan in 2014, then this decision will probably be countered by Al Qaeda by launching another major terrorist attack, forbidding the US from leaving Afghanistan. But so far this much analysis was trivial: right now the most important thing is to find out who are going to benefit from trapping the US in an endless guerrilla war.

The whole reason the Western countries are trapped in the Middle East is because of the oil and gas. This dependence is not written in stone, however: it is possible to invent new energy sources.

Wolf-Dog said at July 27, 2013 9:03 AM:

1) The future weapons of Al Qaeda will one day become more capable of causing damage without sending large hordes of warriors to Europe or North America. This is why the war will be very global, simply restricting immigration won't be enough. For instance, even the destruction of the World Trade Center in 2001 was done by a relatively small group of operatives, the US already has a fairly restricted immigration policy (except more flexible immigration for South American countries, that are supposed to be friendly neighbors.)

2) The 9/11 attack in New York was a trap devised by Al Qaeda to lure the US into distant guerrilla wars in countries like Afghanistan, and this trap worked extremely well. Similarly,if the US attempts to pull out of Afghanistan in 2014, then this decision will probably be countered by Al Qaeda by launching another major terrorist attack, forbidding the US from leaving Afghanistan. But so far this much analysis was trivial: right now the most important thing is to find out who are going to benefit from trapping the US in an endless guerrilla war.

The whole reason the Western countries are trapped in the Middle East is because of the oil and gas. This dependence is not written in stone, however: it is possible to invent new energy sources.

ivvenalis said at July 28, 2013 1:37 AM:

Wolf-Dog: Agreed on the first point, except that I think these weapons already exist but a) the opportunity cost of attempting a major attack in the United States vs using those resources overseas is probably very high, in no small part because of US/EU intelligence organizations and b) there is basically no state that wants to be held responsible for attacking the United States directly, and Islamist militants are still reliant on state support for funding and material. A long-term goal of al-Qaeda has always been to do away with the necessity for state support, but they don't seem to be there yet.

As to your second point, I know what bin Laden said but I think it was an ex post facto justification. The attack was simply meant to demoralize the US into withdrawing from Saudi Arabia etc, based on the idea that the US just didn't have the willpower to actually do anything (Somalia was mentioned in virtually every statement internal or for public release in this regard). The Islamists fared extremely poorly in Afghanistan from 2001-2005, and only after things started looking up for them did you start hearing about how this was the cunning plan all along.

Wolf-Dog said at July 28, 2013 10:40 PM:

Ivvenails wrote: " there is basically no state that wants to be held responsible for attacking the United States directly, and Islamist militants are still reliant on state support for funding and material. A long-term goal of al-Qaeda has always been to do away with the necessity for state support, but they don't seem to be there yet."
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Yes, but they are still working on this problem: their goal has always been to overthrow the Saudi monarchy and to put the oil resources at the service of their ideology. This can happen any time, and a spontaneous revolution is possible. At that moment, it will also be possible that at least temporarily, even the Shiites and Sunnis might forget about their differences and focus on combining their total oil and gas resources to support the Jihad.


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