2013 April 03 Wednesday
Kim Jong-un Approves Nuclear Attack
You probably have pretty strong personal feelings about nuclear combat toe-to-toe with the North Koreans. That's understandable. Kim Jong-un says he's ready to duke it out with us. What do you think? Time to build backyard bomb shelters?
I hope you all own a bottle of iodine tablets to protect your thyroids from iodine-131. I think our leaders are preparing us for the North Korean attack. The threat to ban handguns and semi-automatic rifles was part of a plot to get us prepared. Did it work on you?
By Randall Parker at 2013 April 03 10:57 PM
And yet, nobody is panicking on this side of the Pacific. Not in South Korea, anyway.
PS: Congrats on the RadioDerb mention.
I think he can only nuke California. As long as Texas is safe I don't care.
I doubt he can even nuke California. The North Koreans have missiles that will (supposedly) reach that far, but the payload seems likely to be small for the primitive nukes that they have. Anyway, the threat is stronger than the execution; if they really want to start a war, I expect they'd be better off trying to overwhelm the South Koreans with a conventional attack while holding their nukes in reserve as a way to try and deter us from stopping them. Not that this would actually work, but it's at least something they might *think* would work, whereas just starting off by lobbing nukes should be an obvious loser even to them.
Sorry about that. :)
Easy there. No need for iodine tablets or shelters.
There isn't going to be any nuclear conflict with North Korea. Some of us still have memory, which means we still remember that North Korea is a big loud mouth only. And right now N. Korea is even louder because it is the U.S. that is provoking it, with all these military drills. So don't be fooled; the U.S. is not even inerested in ivading N. Korea or holding any other kind of non-nuclear conflict, simply because North Korea has no oil to really suck from. Go to the fridge, grab another beer and go watch some TV. Let's not be so gullible.
Now if the tensions were because of the Soviets back in the early 60's, then you might even have a point in getting concerned, but not frightened. They're also human.
Nothing's going to happen with North Korea or Iran.
I read this as the usual US propaganda strategy used for justifying an already made decision to go to war. The way I think it will play out is that there'll be a series of unsourced leaks making progressively wilder claims about N.K. military capability. The induced media frenzy soon becomes self-sustaining as they focus on crazier and crazier what-if scenarios. The media happily play the game because the ratings during the war will be brilliant. Then there'll be an air attack on discrete N.K. nuclear sites with plenty of anti-personnel weapons in reserve in case N.K. decides to push an army across the minefields separating the two ends of the country.
The really interesting question is, what will China do?
Well with the expanded media coverage in the "West"
Some South Koreans are convinced that the US is gearing up for another war. The first step the US takes towards war is to create a public sense of threat
from the target enemy. They did so with Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan. All had front page coverage leading up to war.
Now that the US needs a rest from the Middle East, I reckon it intends to give China a couple of step backs. China I GUARANTEE
will not interfere with a US war with NK. This is not Red China of 1950. This is a thoroughly Capitalist china looking to amass as much wealth as it can (China in
opinion is just Russia in slow motion, the elite are amassing as much wealth as they can before leaving before the crash).
With NK in dishevels, with a DMZ that will contain refugee flow south bound. Millions will pour into China, perhaps armed with AKs and RPGs perhaps much more serious
People may doubt NKs eagerness for war, but after witnessing the last decade and the fighting prowess of the American forces, I foresee a war in the East.
There are now 3 Carrier battle groups approaching NK, and Guam is gearing up for missile defence.
Let the COLD WAR END in 2014.