2011 October 12 Wednesday
Mitt Romney Nomination Seen As Inevitable

With Rick Perry fading with every gaffe Romney's biggest challenge now shifts to the general election.

NASHUA, N.H. — Buoyed by a series of strong debate performances, Mitt Romney is suddenly attracting new support from major donors and elected officials, some of whom had resisted his previous entreaties, as people across the GOP grow more accepting of the presidential contender as the party’s standard-bearer.

Romney's the smartest of the Republican candidates. I count that heavily in his favor. Plus, he's worked in the private sector quite successfully.

I see the election pivoting in large part on how the economy goes. Just as the recession assured Republican defeat in 2008 the economy is working against Obama's reelection. All the people not working and not getting raises want a change. A bank crisis emanating from Europe could make this much worse between now and November 2012.

FDR managed to get reelected in spite of very high unemployment rates because he wasn't blamed for the economic disaster. Can Obama put the blame on others? Harder to do when he's so aligned with reviled bankers.

If Romney gets elected he will have a hard time getting reelected because I expect the economy will still be doing quite badly in 2016. If world oil production is shrinking by then people will remember 2011 as the last of the good times. This is not the decade for easy incumbent reelections.

Share |      By Randall Parker at 2011 October 12 10:13 PM  Politics American Presidency

John D said at October 13, 2011 5:44 AM:

Yes, it surely looks more and more like Romney is a shoe in for the nomination. I'd rate him as second smartest of the Republican candidates, however. I think, clearly, Newt is the smartest of the bunch, with Perry bringing up the rear as the relative dullard.

Sgt. Joe Friday said at October 13, 2011 6:42 AM:

Romney is also the choice of the Republican establishment, which is viewed with suspicion by the Tea Party. Romney will probably benefit from the "hold your nose and vote against Obama" faction though.

The race is going to be nasty. Aside from "it's all Bush's fault," the Obama campaign will consist of 24/7 accusations of racist / bigot / sexist / homophobe from July 4 until election day.

bbartlog said at October 13, 2011 7:59 AM:

How would you tell how smart Romney is vis a vis Johnson, Gingrich, Cain, or Paul? I'm willing to concede that Bachmann, Perry, and Santorum are not that smart, based on their affect, their record, and their public statements. But the others are all relatively accomplished and can at least appear to be intelligent. Without test scores it becomes difficult to compare them. I can see how some people would tout Gingrich (based on his PhD and his writings) but to be honest what I've seen is mostly repackaged techno-optimism, borrowed from other sources. It's not conclusive evidence of super high intelligence, more the opposite.

Lono said at October 14, 2011 8:45 AM:

If Americans don't wake the F*&# up and get someone smart and honest like Ron Paul in the Presidency then our country is over.

Romney will only continue to serve the same globalist and wealthy special interests that Obama currently serves.

Enjoy your unlimited immigration and unaccountable North American Union everyone - if you are fool enough to vote for one of these corporate tools you certainly deserve the misery that will follow.

Jeff Maylor said at October 14, 2011 6:37 PM:

Household incomes will be flat for another 10 years according to the Wall Street Journal today. So, it will be rough on anyone elected. Republicans should stop talking about how the economy will "take off" under them - it won't. As far Romney ... seriously, what difference is he from Obama? A little more moderate to conservative Supreme Court nominees which is nice, but what else? I can see advantages to having an open Leftist in the White House for the Right to rally against.

Jeff Maylor said at October 14, 2011 6:41 PM:

Lono, I like Ron Paul, but his time isn't here yet, plus he is 75 years old and past his prime(I still might vote for him in primary to send a message). Hopefully, some more limited gov't people are being developed. We don't need one or two new candidates, we need dozens of high IQ, articulate, people with a track record of success. We need a deep bench.

iotuti7o78 said at October 15, 2011 9:10 PM:

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iotuti7o78 said at October 15, 2011 9:11 PM:

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Demolition Man said at October 16, 2011 2:09 PM:

But when the Republican candidate becomes the President, will he invest in new energy and electric car R & D? Time is running out. Republicans are connected with the oil industry more than the Democrats, and so the future looks bleak. At least I hope that the Republicans will then emphasize extracting domestic oil as fast as possible before the Islamists come to power in Saudi Arabia.

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