2008 September 25 Thursday
California Will Fail To Hit 2014 Educational Goal

Even a California with the demographics of 40 years ago couldn't meet the requirements of No Child Left Behind since about half the white population has an IQ less than 100. But with California's Third World demographics it is no shock to find out that California's schools can't achieve the fantasy of high competency for all students.

RIVERSIDE, Calif. How well students and schools from kindergarten through high school succeed in mastering a curriculum that includes English Language Arts (ELA), mathematics, and the social and natural sciences, strongly influences how well the students fare in higher education.

In California, student mastery in ELA and mathematics is measured with the California Standards Tests (CST). To determine how the challenge of mastery is being met, a research team led by UC Riverside's Richard Cardullo examined several years of CST data.

The researchers report in the Sept. 26 issue of Science that mathematical models they used in their analysis predict that nearly all elementary schools in California will fail to meet the Adequate Yearly Progress (AYP) requirements for proficiency by 2014, the year when all students in the nation need to be proficient in ELA and mathematics, per the "No Child Left Behind Act of 2001" (NCLB).

Under NCLB, AYP measures a school's progress toward meeting the goal of having 100 percent of students meet academic standards in at least reading/language arts and mathematics. AYP constitutes a series of calculated academic performance factors for each state, local education agency, school, and numerically significant student subgroup within a school.

100% of students achieving some educational goal. Imagine that fantasy which surely belongs in Lake Woebegone where all children are above average.

California's educational performance is going to deteriorate in coming years. At some point per capita income will start down a slope.

Share |      By Randall Parker at 2008 September 25 11:00 PM  Education


Comments
Claude said at September 26, 2008 10:13 AM:

Can't imagine what the problem could be in CA. More studies are needed and more money. Lots more money.

az said at September 26, 2008 1:43 PM:

"At some point per capita income will start down a slope."

Not if they rig the statistics!

Nonesuch said at September 26, 2008 2:42 PM:

Not if they rig the statistics!

Maybe the data will be "race normed."

JSBolton said at September 26, 2008 5:31 PM:

What is more likely is that first median per capita income, then per capita income, will lag behind other jurisdictions and nations which better maintain quality of population. In terms of exchange rates this has already happened, or how could Ireland and Britain be ahead of America? Of course those rates can fluctuate too high, or be held down too low; but we used to be able to say USA#1 in basically everything, and that will not be true again. Only quality of population can explain this transition, as the relative differences between Ireland, U.K. and the U.S. in terms of freedom, culture and laws are in much the same range of similarity and differences as they have been for centuries.


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