2008 August 11 Monday
Housing Boom Caused By Flight From Illegal Immigration?

Steve Sailer sees illegal immigration as a big driver of the housing boom that recently crashed.

Similarly, in trying to explain this decade's socioeconomic logic, you end up with thought processes like this:

Q. Why did we need so many illegal immigrants?

A. To build all those McMansions out in the distant exurbs.

Q. Yes, but why did so many Americans want to move to the exurbs?

A. To escape all the illegal aliens flooding their neighborhoods and schools.

Q. Okay, so then why did we need so many illegal aliens?

A. To build all those McMansions out in the distant exurbs.

Everything just spins around and around, like those chrome wheel rims, those insanely expensive hubcaps that were the signature useless extravagance of this decade.

But now that the boom has crashed in part due to rising fuel prices Americans are becoming less able to move away from poor criminals and poorly performing schools overrun by our imported and growing lower classes. The coming world decline in oil production is going to force our middle class back toward cities. I'm expecting a new boom in building jails as the new form of construction aimed at allowing the middle and upper middle classes to live near cities. Also, home schooling and private schooling will become more popular. Though even at $10 per gallon some will find commuting from distant suburbs cheaper than private school tuition. The more kids you have the more a Prius and gasoline make sense as a way to escape cities and near suburbs. People with school age kids will be most reluctant to abandon the exurbs.

Share |      By Randall Parker at 2008 August 11 10:39 PM  Immigration Economics

z said at August 12, 2008 12:14 AM:

As John Derbyshire once said, "......Steve Sailer should be famous" (because he is so right and so prescient about so much). Thats precisely what the situation on the ground is...

c.o. jones said at August 12, 2008 9:32 AM:

Uh, it's really not illegal aliens per se that people are trying to escape, unless you're using "illegal aliens" as shorthand for "poor, semi-literate mestizo peasants who speak Spanish and drink their cerveza and listen to that godawful ranchera music at ear-splitting volumes."

Legal or illegal makes no difference to me, it's the people and their culture and their habits I don't want in my neighborhood. They could be US permanent residents for all I care, if they're the people I described above, I don't want them anywhere near my home.

Dave said at August 14, 2008 5:28 PM:

and now you need more immigrants to come in to fill up the houses the previous wave built!
according to Greenspan.

Big Bill said at August 17, 2008 4:56 PM:

Jeez. What can we do to get Greenspan to make aliyah and bring his wonderful open borders and multicultural magic to Israel.

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