2008 August 09 Saturday
Iraq Government Wants US Troops Out In 2 Years
Even if John McCain wins the Presidency US troops are probably going to leave Iraq in a couple of years.
BAGHDAD (AP) | Iraq and the U.S. are near an agreement on all American combat troops leaving Iraq by October 2010, with the last soldiers out three years after that, two Iraqi officials said Thursday. U.S. officials, however, insisted no dates had been agreed upon.
How can we possibly ignore the demands of the democratically elected Jeffersonian freedom loving government of Iraq?
I can think of three reasons why the honest, peace-loving, democratically elected, largely Shiite Iraqi government might want the US troops gone:
1. So they can steal more. Bribery, corruption and theft are built into the Middle East landscape just like heat, sand and oil. With the Americans present and watching the books, the amount of money that the Iraqi government officials can steal for themselves is severely limited. With the Americans out of there, they can steal as much as they can get away with.
2. Bash the Sunnis. It's payback time! The Americans have been protecting and supporting the Sunni minority. With the US forces gone, the Shiite-dominated government can freely engage in another favorite Middle East sport - exacting vengeance, in this case, for decades of Sunni oppression.
3. Steal the Kurd's oil. The Kurds, with American support, have been running pretty much their own state in Northern Iraq for over a decade. Will the government in Baghdad decide that the Kurd's oil belongs to "the Iraqi people" so they can steal some of it? How will the Kurds react? And since the Iraqi Kurds have been stirring up the Kurdish minority to raise hell in eastern Turkey, how will the Turks react to a quasi-independent Kurdistan once the Americans are gone? Turkey has a large, powerful, NATO-equipped army, by far the dominant military force in the region (except for Israel, with whom the Turks enjoy good relations).
The Shiite majority in Iraq is far from homogeneous, so civil war is a good possibility. It will end eventually, as civil wars in this area always do, with the emergence of a corrupt dictatorship. I wonder if, five years after the last American forces have left, Iraq will look any better than Viet Nam did five years after the Americans left?