2008 February 04 Monday
Republicans Better Off If Hillary Beats McCain?

John O'Sullivan thinks conservatives will be in worse shape in the long run if John McCain wins the US presidency and I'm inclined to agree.

Many conservatives believe that the key question in this election is: Are there to be two multiculturalist open-borders parties or one? If McCainís election were to make the GOP fundamentally similar to the Democrats on immigration, bilingualism, racial preferences, and all the National Question issues, that would be a resounding historical defeat for conservatives.

The willingness of a President McCain to cooperate with the Democrats would give such issues as an immigration amnesty a better chance of passage than under a President Hillary or Obama even against strong GOP resistance in Congress. Opponents of such policies, despite enjoying majority support among the voters, would find themselves politically marginalized. On the other hand, a united Republican opposition might well stop a Democratic White House from passing these measures because its party would be nervous of finding itself on the wrong side of a popular issue in the next midterm elections.

And there is another factor this time. Any bill similar to the senatorís ďcomprehensiveĒ immigration reform would accelerate the GOPís relative demographic decline by creating new voters overwhelmingly likely to vote Democrat in a quicker time scale. This dominant Democratic majority would emerge fully only after a hypothetical President McCain left office, but its approach would cloud the future of every other Republican incumbent.

Hillary will stimulate more right wing opposition than McCain will. So she'll be more constrained in terms of what damage she'll even try to cause.

But what if our choices are Obama versus McCain? Who would cause more damage?

Share |      By Randall Parker at 2008 February 04 09:54 PM  Immigration Societal Decay


Comments
JSBolton said at February 5, 2008 5:02 AM:

I suspect that there could be a really huge keeper story/ news blackout on McCain's leaking of the information on the existence of secret CIA prisons for terrorists in E. Europe. This would be released if he got the nomination, to assure a democratic administration. Dr. Jack Wheeler's: "To The Big House Instead of the White House?" reports that Mccain is considered the culprit in a leak which would carry major charges.
A democratic administration then could pardon or even fail to prosecute the editors who went with the original story.

diana said at February 7, 2008 8:44 AM:

Randall,

Aren't you really saying that you think Hillary is simply the more rational of the two, and favors policies that are better for the country?

Derek Copold said at February 7, 2008 12:08 PM:

Hilarious. The ad on the top has a spooky picture of Hildog in a crystal ball with the caption "Make sure it doesn't happen! Paid for by John McCain 2008.

Nice try, buddy.

Randall Parker said at February 7, 2008 6:17 PM:

Diana,

I do happen to think that Hillary is less nutty than McCain. But I think the argument that Hillary will be better checked and blocked than McCain is sufficiently persuasive by itself.

What I wonder: Will the responsibility of the Presidency sober up McCain? He's taken a lot of positions out of opportunity to make him stand out. Does he now feel invested in those positions? Or can he pivot back toward sanity? I don't know. The idea that he is invested in those positions is something I find worrisome.

I'm very worried for the commonwealth.

Matt said at February 9, 2008 5:47 AM:

I could agree with this viewpoint, but only if it becomes clear that Hillary will abandon her dangerous push for socialized medicine and backpedals on some of her proposed economic agenda.

Regarding healthcare, if it passes it will be Hell to undo, and I dont see how it address the fact that if we want more healthcare cheaper, we need productivity gains, period.

The more widely publicized elements of her economic agenda ( attacking free trade, endless spending on aimless adjustment programs, 5 year freeze on rates) are also problematic. Regarding protectionist sentiment, if you think we are unpopular around the world now, wait until we start messing with other people's economies.

I think that these problems should be considered when wishing Hillary a term or two in the White House.

Randall Parker said at February 9, 2008 8:40 AM:

Matt,

Regards protectionist sentiment: The Chinese are increasingly mercantilist and are putting up all sorts of internal barriers to foreign companies. They don't seem to be getting hurt by a resulting unpopularity.

Health care: Well, she tried it once. This mobilized a huge coalition against her.

McCain will try to do yet another immigration amnesty. That will be far more harmful than what Hillary wants to do.


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