2007 August 19 Sunday
Zimbabwe Collapses By Christmas?

The end of the Mugabe regime may be in sight. The total collapse of the Zimbabwean economy might so emasculate the state that Mugabe's regime could fall.

The economy of Zimbabwe is facing total collapse within four months, leaving the country facing a slide into Congo-style anarchy, The Sunday Telegraph has been told.

Western officials fear the business, farming and financial sectors may be crippled by Christmas, triggering a collapse of government control that could leave the country prey to warlords and ignite long-suppressed tribal tensions.

This is like Atlas Shrugged.

Speaking anonymously because of the sensitivity of the subject, one Western official said: "It is hard to be definitive, but probably within months, by the end of the year, we will see the formal economy cease to work."

He added: "One of the great dangers in all this, if Mugabe hangs on for much longer, is that the country will slip from authoritarianism to anarchy, the government will lose control of the provinces, it will lose control of the towns and you will have a situation where the central authority's writ no longer holds."

So where is Galt's Gulch? Instead of Dagny Taggart and John Galt putting Zimbabwe back together Chinese entrepreneurs will probably become the new colonialists. Africa is no longer the White Man's Burden (except for rent-seeking leftists in NGOs) because white men with talent can make more money in the First World. Whereas China still has plenty smart but very poor people who could provide the brains needed to make African economies function.

Share |      By Randall Parker at 2007 August 19 01:34 PM  Chaotic Regions

dchamil said at August 19, 2007 3:00 PM:

Someone remarked, "There's a lot of ruination in a nation," and we are certainly seeing this in Zimbabwe. It continues to plummet down, down, setting new records for the inflation rate and other bad things. Meanwhile, the aged (early 80's) Mugabe looks fresh as a daisy, reaping applause from his fellow black leaders of neighboring African countries and seemingly immune to assassination.

John S Bolton said at August 19, 2007 4:25 PM:

The Chinese merchants are being plundered currently, with impunity. If anything the Chinese would probably
want to accelerate the inevitable.

James Bowery said at August 22, 2007 6:09 PM:

The interesting thing is that Western military powers would probably intervene if Zimbabweans of Western ethnicity were to try to impose order on the chaos, and those same Western military powers would probably not intervene if Zimbabweans of Chinese ethnicity try to impose order on the chaos. This means, of course, we'll see a new kind of apartheid emerge in Africa -- the unfortunate Chinese having forgotten the wisdom of burning their merchant fleets when they reached Africa lo these centuries ago.

We may take comfort in the fact that China may not be the Dragon we had feared if it can head down the biotoxic path of African colonization that has infected the West. On the other hand, if China does head down that biotoxic path, it may find itself unable to escape the Malthusian catastrophe that awaits those who refuse to automate rather than populate.

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