2007 July 04 Wednesday
Immigration Battle Converts People Into Republicans

Pollster Scott Rasmussen finds that in the aftermath of the massive immigration fight that self identification of people as Republicans has risen.

During the month of June, the number of people identifying themselves as Republicans increased and the number of Democrats was little changed. Thatís the first time in 2007 that the number of Republicans has increased. (see history). The gap between the parties the smallest it has been since last July.

Itís interesting to note that the number of Republicans increased during the same month that the Presidentís Job Approval fell to another all-time low.

Bush isn't seen by Republicans as very Republican. Bush allied with Ted Kennedy and other Democrats to try to push through a massive immigration amnesty that the overwhelming majority of the American people opposed. A majority of Republicans in Congress opposed this and the upshot is that more people identify themselves as Republicans.

Fewer identify as Democrats.

A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of 15,000 adults in June found that just 32.0% now say theyíre Republicans. Thatís up more than a full percentage point from a month ago and is within a tenth-of-a-point of the GOPís best showing in ten months.

The survey also found that the number of people identifying themselves as Democrats fell two-tenths of a point to 36.1% in June. Only once since January 2004 has the number of Democrats in the country been lower (35.9% in December 2005). Democrats gained about two percentage points of support during 2006 and peaked at 38.0% in December of last year. Since actually taking control of Congress, Democrats have given back all of those gains.

Republican candidates who run on platforms arguing for big reductions in immigration can win and can pull more people into the Republican party.

The shift toward identification as Republicans came in spite of Bush polling as the second most unpopular US President in history.

The highest unfavorable rating for any President is earned by Richard Nixon. Sixty percent (60%) of Americans have an unfavorable opinion of the only President to resign from office. Thirty-two percent (32%) have a favorable opinion of the man who famously went to China.

Close on Nixonís heels for most unpopular is the current President, George W. Bush. Fifty-nine percent (59%) have an unfavorable opinion of him. Lyndon Johnson (42%), Bill Clinton (41%), and the first President Bush (41%) are the only other Presidents viewed unfavorably by at least 40% of Americans.

59% view Bush unfavorably. Can Bush come up with more bad policies and push his disapproval rating past Nixon? Bush has a very competitive streak. Maybe he'll view this as a challenge. Become the most reviled President. He's so convinced of his rightness that he might figure the public is sufficiently wrong that the measure of the public's disapproval is a measure of how much he's making the correct decisions.

Share |      By Randall Parker at 2007 July 04 12:32 PM  Immigration Politics

Irish Savant said at July 4, 2007 12:54 PM:

What amazes me is that about 30% still have a favourable view of the jerk

John S Bolton said at July 4, 2007 3:24 PM:

Immigration is a powerful wedge issue favoring the right;
it splits off 'Reagan Democrats', blue collar and middle class elements of the democratic

John Galt said at July 6, 2007 3:30 PM:

I'm surprised that Jimmy Carter isn't up there in the reviled category.

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