2006 June 12 Monday
California Getting Dumber

Steve Sailer reports California 8th graders only beat Mississippi kids in their science knowledge.

The Future Looks Dumberer: The 2005 National Assessment of Educational Progress scores are now out for eighth grade Science, and the cutting edge state of California, home of Silicon Valley and Cal Tech but also of millions of illegal aliens, ranks second worst out of the 44 states measured, ahead of only Mississippi. In California, only 18% of eighth graders scored at the Proficient or Advanced levels, versus 27% nationwide.

Hawaii was third worst, and then came Alabama, New Mexico, Nevada, Louisiana, Arizona, Florida, and Texas.

The highest scoring state was North Dakota (with 43% scoring Proficient or Advanced), followed by Montana, Vermont, New Hampshire, South Dakota, Massachusetts, Wyoming, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

The very white states score quite high. But eventually the Hispanic deluge will drive down scores on those states. Liberals and many neoconservatives will be so happy to see the states become more equal even if that means becoming more equally stupid. Besides, as stupidity becomes more widespread the human tendency to judge oneself relative to those around one will allow smarter people to feel like they have higher status.

Whites also do poorly in California.

The NAEP also reports the scores broken down by ethnicity. California's non-Hispanic whites don't do terribly well either, coming in 8th worst out of 44 states. The bottom of the white barrel is West Virginia, followed by Nevada, Mississippi, Hawaii, Alabama, Tennessee, Louisiana, and California.

The top scoring whites are found in Massachusetts, Colorado, North Dakota, Minnesota, Montana, New Jersey, South Dakota, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Lower white scores in California could be due to several causes:

  • The schools shift resources toward poorly performing dumber Hispanics and therefore fewer classes are pitched at smarter white students. George W. Bush encouraged this trend by signing into law the No Child Left Behind legislation (which should be renamed No Liberal Lie Gets Left Behind).
  • Hispanic students disrupt classes and therefore reduce the amount of time dedicated to teaching.
  • White students in schools with lots of Hispanics do not feel the pressure to work hard to come out on top. They can be intellectually lazy and still think they are doing well relative to the people around them.
  • Hispanic peer pressure makes whites afraid to stand out by performing well in classes.
  • Good teachers might be leaving in frustration and disgust.

We really need a big study where the same kids in several states would be given both NAEP tests and IQ tests. Then we could find out which circumstances cause kids to not learn up to their potential. But our corrupt and damaging liberal elites would probably prevent funding of such a study. It'd produce all sorts of answers that they do not want us or them to know.

Audacious Epigone has done an analysis on national average IQ data which strongly suggests that declining average IQ portends a rise in corruption is in store in America's future.

Lynn and Vanhanen spotlighted the relationship between IQ and the purchasing power parity of nations. It was a groundbreaking new way of understanding prosperity in the world. But PPP's relationship with IQ (contemporary correlation of .60) is actually weak in comparison to IQ's relationship to a host of other quantifiables (Economic transparency/corruption index: .68, Distance from the equator: .67, Births per woman: -.81, Life expectancy: .85). When economic transparency/corruption is taken into account, the effect of IQ on PPP completely disappears, while controlling for a host of variables (IQ, distance from the equator, births per woman, net migration rate, life expectancy, and economic freedom) only mildly moderates the effect of economic transparency/corruption while rendering all the other variables statistically insignificant except for the migration rate (positive net migration being correlated with higher PPP).

We should be seriously worried about a rise in corruption due to immigration. But Europe faces an even bigger problem on that score due to the tendency for consanguineous (cousin) marriage among Muslim immigrants. Steve Sailer found a report in the British Guardian which got hold of a police report that claims Muslim police officers are 10 times more likely to be corrupt than white officers.

A secret high-level Metropolitan police report has concluded that Muslim officers are more likely to become corrupt than white officers because of their cultural and family backgrounds. The document, which has been seen by the Guardian, has caused outrage among ethnic minorities within the force, who have labelled it racist and proof that there is a gulf in understanding between the police force and the wider Muslim community. The document was written as an attempt to investigate why complaints of misconduct and corruption against Asian officers are 10 times higher than against their white colleagues.

The main conclusions of the study, commissioned by the Directorate of Professional Standards and written by an Asian detective chief inspector, stated: "Asian officers and in particular Pakistani Muslim officers are under greater pressure from the family, the extended family ... and their community against that of their white colleagues to engage in activity that might lead to misconduct or criminality."

Just who lives in a society greatly matters. Libertarian economists might want you to believe that all we have to do is lower barriers to the free market and all will be well. But that is nonsense. For a great starting point in reading posts about consanguineous marriage and how extended family bonds weaken larger community bonds see my post John Tierney On Cousin Marriage As Reform Obstacle In Iraq and click back and read all links.

La Griffe du Lion responded to some inquiries I made about the NAEP results with the following in email:

Certainly food for thought. Here are some facts that need to be thrown into the mix:

1. The NAEP data apply to public schools. Bright white students in CA may be hiding in private schools. California mean SAT's, for example, are about the same as the national means.

2. If we disaggregate NAEP 8th grade math scores by race/ethnicity, additional facts emerge:

a. For whites only, California ranks 33/50 among the states and Mississippi 43/50 -- neither distinguished but nevertheless a clear difference.

b. CA blacks rank 31/40 and Mississippi blacks 33/40 (10 states with not enough blacks to establish significant means).

c. Perhaps most interesting is that CA Hispanics rank next to last among Hispanics nationally (36/37). Only Hispanics in Rhode Island fared worse on the 8th grade math test. CA Hispanics are among the least able Hispanics in the nation -- a sure bet to have economic impact down the road if immigration goes unchecked.

3. Despite CA's undistinguished NAEP performance, the fundamental law of sociology remains intact in CA as in the nation. According to my estimates the CA white - black mean difference for 8th grade math is 1.01 SD; nationally it is 0.99 SD. The national white - Hispanic mean difference is 0.81 SD in more-or-less aggreement with the recent finding of Hartmann, Kruuse and Nyborg. The CA white - Hispanic difference is 0.85 SD.

Griffe has explained a great deal about racial differences using his standard deviations approach. The standard deviations differences show up across a large range of measures with very similar standard deviations.

Share |      By Randall Parker at 2006 June 12 10:48 PM  Immigration Societal Decay

John S Bolton said at June 13, 2006 2:50 AM:

Quality of population is all-important. The poor showing for white students in Cal. PS's might be from high use of private schools by upper-income parents. The willingness of hispanics to put dozens people, including children, into one housing unit, means they can follow further out to where there is more growth and jobs for menials.
This means schools degrade much faster in terms of student quality.
The ETS recently reported that black students from households with incomes over 100k scored no better than whites from families with 10k income. Moving a black student from the bottom to the top percentiles of environment as indicated by family income, does not equalize. Children taking the SAT don't have their own SES; they have that of their parents.
Even discounting environment this far; it seems clear from IQ testing in comparison to test results and graduation rates, that Hispanic students are several points above blacks on IQ, yet come out distinctly lower on academic performance.
That indicates an environmental cause which those who delight in ethnic strife dare not mention: bilingual culture maintenance programs are an environmental stressor of significant damaging effect.
No society in the history of the world has ever experimented with degradation of quality of population to the extent that California has; now the results are piling up menacingly high. There replacing people worth paying 50k with those who'd need affirmative action to get more than 15k. You can't do that very long.

D Flinchum said at June 13, 2006 6:16 AM:

"The poor showing for white students in Cal. PS's might be from high use of private schools by upper-income parents." John S Bolton

Assuming that mainly public school results are being shown, the above is almost certainly correct.

It is definitely true that California is attracting immigrants, legal and illegal; but it has been losing more US population than it gains for some time. From 1990 on, virtually all of its growth has been as a result of immigration. According to William H. Frey, a Brookings Institution demographer, from 1990-1999, 2.2 million more California residents moved to other states than people from other states moved to California. California lost nearly 350,000 residents from July 2001 to July 2004 alone.

This loss of largely middle class population combined with massive, often low skilled, immigration is changing California drastically. Its public schools used to be among the top two or three in the nation. Now they are among the worst – down in the pits with Mississippi and Alabama. Costs of educating ESL (English as a Second Language) students have increased dramatically, and more students are living in poverty.

California is moving toward a state with the rich living isolated in certain well-defined areas and the poor crowding out the middle class. That is not my idea of a prosperous and progressive society.

lilly said at June 13, 2006 2:03 PM:

If whites are doing poorly, the main reason, as is the main reason for ALL children who do poorly in school--the parents are not involved and monitoring the child's education. It has nothing to do with Hispanics being "dumb" as you ignorantly suggested.

daveg said at June 13, 2006 3:20 PM:

lilly, how do you know that?

Bob Badour said at June 13, 2006 5:26 PM:

She knows that because stupid parents don't monitor their children's education. Oh, wait, stupid parents have stupid children. Hmmmm....

Then again, Spicoli would be about the right age to have kids in school. Perhaps this is just California's surfer dude drug culture come home to rest.

John S Bolton said at June 15, 2006 1:15 AM:

Here's another environmental factor which may explain part of the pattern shown in group data, where hispanic students perform below the level predicted by their IQ averages:
Children living with unrelated males in addition to their relatives, are at dozens of times the risk of death or injury, from that cause.
Hispanics in high-cost districts or states are vastly more likely to be in that circumstance, since this is their way of getting jobs; that is, being the low wage element, while putting more incomes into a unit of housing. This is how the unrelated males come in.
This circumstance is almost entirely caused by lassitude in immigration law enforcement and policy regarding quality of immigration. It is a long-term reciprocating influence which builds on itself, such that one would expect further deviation towards the downside on these intergroup comparisons, and with acceleration of that process in the high-cost regions.

John S Bolton said at June 25, 2006 2:12 AM:

Suporting the above: the NYTimes reported on 11-8-05, p. F8, “children who live with adults not biologically related to them are 50 times as likely to die at the adults’ hands as children who live with two biological parents”.

John S Bolton said at June 25, 2006 2:29 AM:

More in support of above statements:"The Journal of Blacks in Higher Education (JBHE) of Autumn 2005 reported (page 90) that in 2005, the average combined SAT score of Blacks whose parents had an annual income of $100,000 or more (the highest category) was 10 points lower than the average combined SAT score of Whites whose parents had an annual income of less than $10,000 a year (the lowest category). "
...from Prof. Steven Farron's Affirmative Action Hoax, online additions

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